Birdwatch Note
2024-05-09 16:45:44 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
Written by 97BB678A829BEC0D395D4E301875C72481F904AD520730365EECB0541217203F
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1788404230698737704
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1788611320448684369
- noteId - 1788611320448684369
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 97BB678A829BEC0D395D4E301875C72481F904AD520730365EECB0541217203F
- createdAtMillis - 1715273144242
- tweetId - 1788404230698737704
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2024-05-09 16:45:44 UTC (1715273144242) |
2024-05-09 20:35:38 UTC (1715286938780) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_NOT_HELPFUL | 2024-05-10 03:21:20 UTC (1715311280526) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 2024-05-09 20:35:38 UTC (1715286938780) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_NOT_HELPFUL |
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