Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-09 17:54:25 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 7037268A00208D1B5E1B6CE3D76E0E1308FE41106CD094B9629D1D9A79E2F948
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details