Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-09 22:38:18 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 2EE532E64E7D024645E3ED82748C8314DF956CB35FA6E4293BE126AE7B1CEBD8
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details