Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-09 18:44:48 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: D8C4579473DB2D8B357FC28669EACB0903A18BFA407E3B86BA15C4A2CECEEB1E
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details