Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-10 00:56:59 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 3123A909E8A3EC7DB4ECB1236D9540A0EC8064A43D05164AF644B89E677E1D55
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details