Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-10 01:41:17 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: FA332D9E48D2D1ED6574206FDD52EA2ABA30480BBF3C2DD403A819DB576B88FA
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
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