Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-05-10 05:40:09 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: FC2339DD04C08D2CF3A387D88167A7C582A915AB83DD22A2E653E16000F2633D
Participant Details

Original Note:

This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788

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Original Tweet

All Information

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  • participantId -
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  • version - 2
  • agree - 0
  • disagree - 0
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  • notHelpful - 0
  • helpfulnessLevel - NOT_HELPFUL
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