Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-09 18:16:16 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 0A22A89A85C36723581B046FC7C9C979F37B9BB66B03EC3DF4034DE9CD882E5D
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details