Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-09 17:01:44 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: ECEF2A11886A6FA026412A9FC2B628816A7C4AFCB3584B129F0236C40D6F835A
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details