Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-10 04:06:16 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 8A6737A51B7C4B8D6221B7812BC42AD128FED540BAFC0090EA352A80A6A0F972
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details