Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-09 23:37:06 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 6F3549BD4E73932B9B73106F3FB57A302B0494543005E3EF866B7CA42278C303
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
All Note Details