Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-05-10 15:22:46 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 689FF5D8C134DA2D06C6C58C287D56B7A95007DFA38609059C76A3DD08AC92FE
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is not how probabilities work , probabilities are not additive if an event A has 20% chance of happening in a month, then the probability of it occurring at least once in 6 months is 1 - (1-0.2) ^6 = 0.737856 or roughly 73.7 % https://www.statology.org/probability-of-at-least-one-success/ https://x.com/naik_em/status/1788602665859227788
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