Birdwatch Note
2024-10-29 07:09:18 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Written by 0785E17436FB4BB5B85AA5CC055363D762074F43DC65AB424E14706C5EF8A40F
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1851135708741660740
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1851159358102782182
- noteId - 1851159358102782182
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 0785E17436FB4BB5B85AA5CC055363D762074F43DC65AB424E14706C5EF8A40F Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1730185758506
- tweetId - 1851135708741660740
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 1
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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