Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-30 03:37:59 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 8E66DB48BDE9EE456642D33A9EAED469D2014E81EFB557A19201C7F840DE8737
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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