Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-11-01 16:44:31 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 672E180D364CAD13F8D04CC8195A5DFCF5B4119D1FA7CA54DD0B73E39D39F373
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
All Note Details