Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-29 13:48:04 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 37FD92213F45A63175667739439B5D6325482FD965EC62A89FFEC8DAC51BCC72
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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