Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-30 05:08:25 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: BDCA72395EE05D6EA88E734ED23F3537349A9347D44521D81A9F0FBD53CE63E9
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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