Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-29 12:53:25 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: AA02E6C6A521790765C07A95195E8BD844C0634013EF6B6AAAF65C6A450277D6
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
All Note Details