Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-29 16:08:15 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 1B3BADDE0EA7DADCEE1B5EA818B0EF58512A3B5CC292E968583305AC844FC0C7
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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