Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-29 11:19:29 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 8A091CF3F72272B775E47EBEBCD3A6021696F120267EA070C205CB0C24088F95
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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