Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-31 00:55:57 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: EEEE71EECB0F1AD20BD75E837A2F242E187A48D791E0D0E99182B0AE1B21E43D
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
All Note Details