Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-29 11:41:03 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 5FEF2F078AD42D68F2ADE9A8C52F20F9050C43C3AC04E72104FF4DA829F0B8D7
Participant Details
Original Note:
Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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