Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-30 01:20:23 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 9C064E1221D6C66A267E524C14D07E523D075A2C97377FB503822D2797EF8EE5
Participant Details

Original Note:

Despite claiming to be "accurate, real time election odds", this is not accurate at all. reliable election odd trackers and polling report it being around 50/50. polymarkets odds for trump are highly inflated due to a single person betting $26M USD on trump. https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/how-one-bet-on-trump-exposed-polymarket-prediction-problem/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

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Original Tweet

All Information

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  • version - 2
  • agree - 0
  • disagree - 0
  • helpful - 0
  • notHelpful - 0
  • helpfulnessLevel - NOT_HELPFUL
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  • notHelpfulOpinionSpeculationOrBias - 0
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