Birdwatch Note
2024-12-29 19:45:13 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
This is one run of one model, not an actual forecast. The chances that this is how the forecast ends up exactly is low. Even actual forecasts have a 50 percent or less accuracy rate once the timeframe is over 10 days. https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability/#:~:text=The%20Short%20Answer:,right%20about%20half%20the%20time.
Written by 127531FD4D6BC67DD208AEAE0DC85E612BE1067CCFEF9528E08B737AB646FF6D
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1873423959863214199
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1873455248754221473
- noteId - 1873455248754221473
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 127531FD4D6BC67DD208AEAE0DC85E612BE1067CCFEF9528E08B737AB646FF6D
- createdAtMillis - 1735501513075
- tweetId - 1873423959863214199
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- This is one run of one model, not an actual forecast. The chances that this is how the forecast ends up exactly is low. Even actual forecasts have a 50 percent or less accuracy rate once the timeframe is over 10 days. https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability/#:~:text=The%20Short%20Answer:,right%20about%20half%20the%20time.
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