Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-12-30 11:51:26 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 9E62AC11D9097232F0A60B47E212DBFBEA7DF000DC15225DD6BB9710B107A1A1
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is one run of one model, not an actual forecast. The chances that this is how the forecast ends up exactly is low. Even actual forecasts have a 50 percent or less accuracy rate once the timeframe is over 10 days. https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability/#:~:text=The%20Short%20Answer:,right%20about%20half%20the%20time.
All Note Details