Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-12-30 01:43:21 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 201FE34C8F9206AA672FA8BC30318610D0BC3BC019C8A12F9B5CA99CDE358892
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is one run of one model, not an actual forecast. The chances that this is how the forecast ends up exactly is low. Even actual forecasts have a 50 percent or less accuracy rate once the timeframe is over 10 days. https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability/#:~:text=The%20Short%20Answer:,right%20about%20half%20the%20time.
All Note Details