Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-12-29 23:27:55 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 64A95A2D2AA11AF0CA2195C3346D6B09A6A3B2F458EE029380F045A461725A4E
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is one run of one model, not an actual forecast. The chances that this is how the forecast ends up exactly is low. Even actual forecasts have a 50 percent or less accuracy rate once the timeframe is over 10 days. https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability/#:~:text=The%20Short%20Answer:,right%20about%20half%20the%20time.
All Note Details