Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-12-29 22:38:18 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 2A9A83FEFC55B53D6DDA3E35165A0C9956921976CF63E65EA57C9858A7434E3E
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is one run of one model, not an actual forecast. The chances that this is how the forecast ends up exactly is low. Even actual forecasts have a 50 percent or less accuracy rate once the timeframe is over 10 days. https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability/#:~:text=The%20Short%20Answer:,right%20about%20half%20the%20time.
All Note Details