Birdwatch Note
2024-10-08 11:26:12 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Presenting this as an 8.6 pt lead is misleading because that suggests that this is a poll lead. Polymarket shows perceived chance by the market. In reality, a difference of 8.6% in implied probability here gives Trump odds of 4/5 or -120 and Harris 6/5 or +120. https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/faq/general
Written by 850D4490217D90E1C93B9DB7280FA9F0F99BF214AC0A17215A8FB94262CEE0DC
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1843317748430238085
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1843613864199331916
- noteId - 1843613864199331916
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 850D4490217D90E1C93B9DB7280FA9F0F99BF214AC0A17215A8FB94262CEE0DC
- createdAtMillis - 1728386772571
- tweetId - 1843317748430238085
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Presenting this as an 8.6 pt lead is misleading because that suggests that this is a poll lead. Polymarket shows perceived chance by the market. In reality, a difference of 8.6% in implied probability here gives Trump odds of 4/5 or -120 and Harris 6/5 or +120. https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/faq/general
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