Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-08 17:26:21 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 7CAEBD6C1CA8ADCF69207DD30FCF521B549FAE8FE9D2029B63EDFB51FAE09DB4
Participant Details
Original Note:
Presenting this as an 8.6 pt lead is misleading because that suggests that this is a poll lead. Polymarket shows perceived chance by the market. In reality, a difference of 8.6% in implied probability here gives Trump odds of 4/5 or -120 and Harris 6/5 or +120. https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/faq/general
All Note Details