Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-08 12:21:45 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: C8812179D30BCC93F307151B38A17E62F6FFB25F167AC51E88E067EFFAB3FE45
Participant Details
Original Note:
Presenting this as an 8.6 pt lead is misleading because that suggests that this is a poll lead. Polymarket shows perceived chance by the market. In reality, a difference of 8.6% in implied probability here gives Trump odds of 4/5 or -120 and Harris 6/5 or +120. https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/faq/general
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