Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-08 13:16:20 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: B7F2080D4B2D9736D25827F9323FD5BDB1F3FFB75DC5DA4A6B3F397C7B9D92A9
Participant Details
Original Note:
Presenting this as an 8.6 pt lead is misleading because that suggests that this is a poll lead. Polymarket shows perceived chance by the market. In reality, a difference of 8.6% in implied probability here gives Trump odds of 4/5 or -120 and Harris 6/5 or +120. https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/faq/general
All Note Details