Birdwatch Note
2024-11-03 21:05:24 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
This is not how Silver’s forecast works, you can’t pick these two data points in isolation and claim it is Silver’s forecast. His actual forecast model has much lower chances for Trump and is behind a paywall. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Written by 850D4490217D90E1C93B9DB7280FA9F0F99BF214AC0A17215A8FB94262CEE0DC
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1853099169730195787
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1853181708205736421
- noteId - 1853181708205736421
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 850D4490217D90E1C93B9DB7280FA9F0F99BF214AC0A17215A8FB94262CEE0DC
- createdAtMillis - 1730667924344
- tweetId - 1853099169730195787
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- This is not how Silver’s forecast works, you can’t pick these two data points in isolation and claim it is Silver’s forecast. His actual forecast model has much lower chances for Trump and is behind a paywall. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
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