Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-11-03 22:03:21 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 1FE0C97AD53EA6C0293AB49E6DD3DA6782F88BE738234073A4196493ACC2ACF2
Participant Details

Original Note:

This is not how Silver’s forecast works, you can’t pick these two data points in isolation and claim it is Silver’s forecast. His actual forecast model has much lower chances for Trump and is behind a paywall. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

All Note Details

Original Tweet

All Information

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