Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-11-03 23:52:48 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 49272ABD88EAF9C2F8B98E40F9D06B714CC9CF23EF31478B60C135B2684BB460
Participant Details

Original Note:

This is not how Silver’s forecast works, you can’t pick these two data points in isolation and claim it is Silver’s forecast. His actual forecast model has much lower chances for Trump and is behind a paywall. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

All Note Details

Original Tweet

All Information

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  • version - 2
  • agree - 0
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  • helpfulnessLevel - HELPFUL
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