Birdwatch Note
2024-10-30 23:18:03 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
The early vote is not a reliable predictor of final election outcomes. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html Trump has shifted his stance, now urging Republicans to vote early, contrasting his 2020 position: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Nate Silver's analysis confirms early voting lacks predictive reliability: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict
Written by DE5C704B2A0ABB590AEE8469C23205F7E81D509D49A5B8A758338D1FDB255A14
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1851765540382973954
- noteId - 1851765540382973954
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - DE5C704B2A0ABB590AEE8469C23205F7E81D509D49A5B8A758338D1FDB255A14
- createdAtMillis - 1730330283624
- tweetId - 1851745648313602189
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 0
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- The early vote is not a reliable predictor of final election outcomes. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html Trump has shifted his stance, now urging Republicans to vote early, contrasting his 2020 position: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Nate Silver's analysis confirms early voting lacks predictive reliability: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict
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