Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-31 08:23:38 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 63A3C2495174B13D426F283611B5D47CEDD064017697BDABFBE5159F06D09100
Participant Details
Original Note:
The early vote is not a reliable predictor of final election outcomes. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html Trump has shifted his stance, now urging Republicans to vote early, contrasting his 2020 position: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Nate Silver's analysis confirms early voting lacks predictive reliability: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict
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