Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note Rating

2024-10-31 14:42:19 UTC - HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 2A9EBFCB29B64D2A1B779EB18A6349D32DA112FFA10B05E24FEFC1BE941E6DF2
Participant Details

Original Note:

The early vote is not a reliable predictor of final election outcomes. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/elon-musk-early-voting-data-analysis/index.html Trump has shifted his stance, now urging Republicans to vote early, contrasting his 2020 position: https://apnews.com/article/early-vote-records-trump-harris-1c219d0d27d56996388f2e2be5a58fac Nate Silver's analysis confirms early voting lacks predictive reliability: https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-early-vote-doesnt-reliably-predict

All Note Details

Original Tweet

All Information

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  • version - 2
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  • helpfulnessLevel - HELPFUL
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