Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-05-15 14:56:12 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Proposed precursors have high rates of false positives/negatives. Scientific organization that rigorously test predictions (NEPEC, CSEP) have yet to see evidence of utility from such methods. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 NEPEC https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec CSEP https://www.scec.org/research/csep

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

All Information

• ID - 1658124123791405064
• noteId - 1658124123791405064
• participantId -
• noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
• createdAtMillis - 1684162572226
• tweetId - 1658109071759667203
• classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
• believable -
• harmful -
• validationDifficulty -
• misleadingOther - 0
• misleadingFactualError - 1
• misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
• misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
• misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
• misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
• misleadingSatire - 0
• notMisleadingOther - 0
• notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
• notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
• notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
• notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
• trustworthySources - 1
• summary
• There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Proposed precursors have high rates of false positives/negatives. Scientific organization that rigorously test predictions (NEPEC, CSEP) have yet to see evidence of utility from such methods. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 NEPEC https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec CSEP https://www.scec.org/research/csep