Birdwatch Note Rating
2023-05-16 00:05:17 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 48AF0833F015D58345270CAE0146FD969133EAA4BF3E76AE9670BA9163DF111C
Participant Details
Original Note:
There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Proposed precursors have high rates of false positives/negatives. Scientific organization that rigorously test predictions (NEPEC, CSEP) have yet to see evidence of utility from such methods. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 NEPEC https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec CSEP https://www.scec.org/research/csep
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