Birdwatch Note Rating
2023-05-17 00:55:34 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 803CEE394E0F3E70D4176A8A2D86F197E68B4CD82367AF3F816B5669B0545937
Participant Details
Original Note:
There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Proposed precursors have high rates of false positives/negatives. Scientific organization that rigorously test predictions (NEPEC, CSEP) have yet to see evidence of utility from such methods. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 NEPEC https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec CSEP https://www.scec.org/research/csep
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