Birdwatch Note Rating
2023-05-15 21:14:27 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 514CF80826F8C35E69F517D28D53E5519A2CEFF896F6F1318CE10293128C444C
Participant Details
Original Note:
There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Proposed precursors have high rates of false positives/negatives. Scientific organization that rigorously test predictions (NEPEC, CSEP) have yet to see evidence of utility from such methods. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 NEPEC https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec CSEP https://www.scec.org/research/csep
All Note Details