Birdwatch Note
2023-03-04 17:02:12 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Short-term earthquake forecasts (variations in likelihood over days/weeks) perform no better than random when tested. Geophysicists make evidenced long-term probabilities, aftershock probabilities, and early warnings. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ User's history of pseudoscience claims: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs
Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1632050143103942656
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1632063907350339584
- noteId - 1632063907350339584
- participantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
- noteAuthorParticipantId -
- createdAtMillis - 1677949332450
- tweetId - 1632050143103942656
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Short-term earthquake forecasts (variations in likelihood over days/weeks) perform no better than random when tested. Geophysicists make evidenced long-term probabilities, aftershock probabilities, and early warnings. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ User's history of pseudoscience claims: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs
Note Status History
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| 2023-03-04 17:02:12 UTC (1677949332450) |
2023-03-05 00:37:40 UTC (1677976660857) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-03-07 02:11:29 UTC (1678155089929) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL | 2023-03-05 00:37:40 UTC (1677976660857) |
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL |
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