Birdwatch Note Rating
2023-03-05 00:25:20 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: F5A6197E67243036538AC738181487F0F2A37A703DF7F4A21BF53EB97816C9B2
Participant Details
Original Note:
Short-term earthquake forecasts (variations in likelihood over days/weeks) perform no better than random when tested. Geophysicists make evidenced long-term probabilities, aftershock probabilities, and early warnings. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ User's history of pseudoscience claims: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs
All Note Details