Birdwatch Note Rating
2023-03-04 17:08:19 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 32F5A29D0AB69211B9C7C62C4F56638CB6835C6229A52E49F96E1A57401BBE44
Participant Details
Original Note:
Short-term earthquake forecasts (variations in likelihood over days/weeks) perform no better than random when tested. Geophysicists make evidenced long-term probabilities, aftershock probabilities, and early warnings. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ User's history of pseudoscience claims: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs
All Note Details