Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-11-04 18:23:57 UTC - SOMEWHAT_HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: 44A31745DDFAF3B38FD7C12F7A09F25B885E4B2C09FF9AAFFA50553CAF8E0511
Participant Details
Original Note:
This is the first year in which odds have been given on US Presidential elections. The statement that 43 of 45 elections have been won by a "favorite" is, at best, conjecture that has nothing to do with the implied historical betting markets that did not in reality exist. https://www.axios.com/2024/11/01/election-betting-odds-president-robinhood-kalshi-polymarket
All Note Details