Birdwatch Note
2024-11-04 17:42:00 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
This is the first year in which odds have been given on US Presidential elections. The statement that 43 of 45 elections have been won by a "favorite" is, at best, conjecture that has nothing to do with the implied historical betting markets that did not in reality exist. https://www.axios.com/2024/11/01/election-betting-odds-president-robinhood-kalshi-polymarket
Written by 7F0F97E698433BD33E72A885FEA6E95C60C2721A0FD0230950F029D0D286BD75
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1853468136042901779
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1853492911012299043
- noteId - 1853492911012299043
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 7F0F97E698433BD33E72A885FEA6E95C60C2721A0FD0230950F029D0D286BD75
- createdAtMillis - 1730742120876
- tweetId - 1853468136042901779
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- This is the first year in which odds have been given on US Presidential elections. The statement that 43 of 45 elections have been won by a "favorite" is, at best, conjecture that has nothing to do with the implied historical betting markets that did not in reality exist. https://www.axios.com/2024/11/01/election-betting-odds-president-robinhood-kalshi-polymarket
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