Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-29 20:16:44 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: A1CDADBC0B4E5DBAB8313E60213DF956A34E2B060ACAB1ABBDB77B2E2E3CD36D
Participant Details
Original Note:
Polymarket is not open to US residents, so bets only reflect views of those ineligible to vote. The odds can be titled by such things as, say, a single $26M bet on Trump https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-07-31/what-betting-markets-like-polymarket-predictit-tell-us-about-2024-election https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/10/24/who-is-polymarkets-trump-whale-site-reveals-french-trader-bet-28-million-on-trump-win/ Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Trump: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
All Note Details