Birdwatch Note
2024-10-29 19:55:43 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Polymarket is not open to US residents, so bets only reflect views of those ineligible to vote. The odds can be titled by such things as, say, a single $26M bet on Trump https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-07-31/what-betting-markets-like-polymarket-predictit-tell-us-about-2024-election https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/10/24/who-is-polymarkets-trump-whale-site-reveals-french-trader-bet-28-million-on-trump-win/ Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Trump: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Written by 2A6B630D0AEA2ACC36E2189A989B042C8F44788D5C6526EF4EAC8856A79A73D8
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1851332171119661337
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1851352235097161915
- noteId - 1851352235097161915
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 2A6B630D0AEA2ACC36E2189A989B042C8F44788D5C6526EF4EAC8856A79A73D8
- createdAtMillis - 1730231743966
- tweetId - 1851332171119661337
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Polymarket is not open to US residents, so bets only reflect views of those ineligible to vote. The odds can be titled by such things as, say, a single $26M bet on Trump https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-07-31/what-betting-markets-like-polymarket-predictit-tell-us-about-2024-election https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/10/24/who-is-polymarkets-trump-whale-site-reveals-french-trader-bet-28-million-on-trump-win/ Conventional polling data shows Kamala Harris leading against Trump: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
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