Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-16 20:32:14 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: D2D43511377DEA4D33C7967C2A9BCC3622AB2B083CEE82EC374107AB6B2DD540
Participant Details
Original Note:
Important context: Polymarket bets are not resolved on the basis of the election results. Instead they are resolved by a mechanism called UMA Optimistic Oracle https://legacy-docs.polymarket.com/polymarket-+-uma https://docs.polymarket.com/#resolution The sharp divergence between Polymarket and polls can be explained by an expectation that UMA-OO can be manipulated
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